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NFL matchup · Week 6

HOU at JAX. One game, all of it.

The pick, every available price, player props, injuries, and the final result.

Sun Oct 18 · 9:30 AM ET Final · HOU 34–31 JAX
AwayHOU
HomeJAX
Our pick

Tonight table

This game is not on the current board.

This game is over, so no pick is shown for it.

Record on similar games

No record is posted for games like this one. It appears here once enough finished games of the same kind have been graded.

Live win chance

This game is final: HOU 34, JAX 31. A finished game has no live win chance.

Lines: every available book, open to now

Every market
MarketLine nowHouse sideBasisFair price
SpreadJAX −2.5No play—JAX 51.7% · HOU 48.3%
TotalO/U 42No play——
MoneylineHOU -168 · JAX +85No play—JAX 46.3% · HOU 53.7%

Fair price is each side's chance implied by the books' prices, with the books' built-in margin taken out. Prices as of Oct 18, 5:07 PM ET.

Odds movement

last good as of Oct 18, 10:07 AM ET

Spread: −2.5 to −2.5 (10 books)

Home spread

Near key 3 · live pregame

consensus

n=30 · 28h

First captured -2.5 → Latest -2.5 (0.0)

-2.5 · 2026-10-17T09:57:23.391Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T22:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-17T23:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T01:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T02:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T03:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T04:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T05:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T06:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T07:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z-2.5 · 2026-10-18T14:07:01.574Z-2.5
Total: 42.5 to 42 (10 books)

Game total

consensus

n=30 · 28h

First captured 42.5 → Latest 42 (−0.5)

42.5 · 2026-10-17T09:57:23.391Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T22:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-17T23:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z42.5 · 2026-10-18T01:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T02:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T03:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T04:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T05:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T06:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T07:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z42 · 2026-10-18T14:07:01.574Z42

Median of the books quoting in each hour, last 36 hours.

Every book
BookHome spreadTotalHome moneylineAway moneyline
DraftKingsBEST PRICE−2.5 -11842.5 o-105 u-115-142+120
DraftKings - Live OddsBEST PRICE— —— o— u—+312-456

2 of 2All 2 books · Last pregame prices as of Oct 18, 5:07 PM ET

Line moves and betting splits

No recent line history is stored for this game yet.

Where the money is going

? · what this block is

money flow

What
Where the money is going on each game: the side it leans to, tickets versus dollars, the open → now line and a one-word read.
Why it is here
A line that moves against the ticket count is the sharpest public signal there is; the read names it.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
GameSideOpenNowRead
SEA @ NENENE −1NE −2.5sharp side · 38% tickets · 61% money
KC @ LACKCKC −3KC −3split · 52% tickets · 49% money

open → now · tickets vs dollars

GameOpenNowRead
HOU @ JAX——50% tickets · 52% money

as of Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

Props

Player props

? · what this block is

Player props board

What
Player-prop lines, their books and when each quote was captured.
Why it is here
Compare the same player and market while keeping each book and capture time visible.

Player props could not be read as of Oct 18, 5:38 PM ET. Try again.

Context for this game

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
HOU
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
JAX
OutJAXOutOut
OutJAXOutOut
OutJAXOutOut
OutJAXOutOut
OutJAXOutOut

Updated Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

2 more on the practice report

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
HOU
Injured ReserveHOUIR—
JAX
Injured ReserveJAXIR—

Updated Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

Injury report from Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

Sharkai lenses

sharp: Sharp: the line moved from JAX by 1.5 at open to JAX by 2.5 now; the market moved toward JAX. 5-8 (38%, n=13) house · baked Oct 18 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
modeler: Modeler favors JAX: the house model has JAX by 3.8, the market has JAX by 2.5. 39-35 (53%, n=74) house · baked Oct 18
Weather
Temp
55°F
Wind
13 mph
Rain
7%

Forecast for kickoff, as of Oct 18, 5:10 PM ET.

News and game events

Headlines

? · what this block is

headline list

What
Headlines relevant to the board: headline, when, and (when the source has one) an outlet, a tag and a link.
Why it is here
The news behind a line move sits beside the line move, not off in a different tab.

HOU at JAX

Game events

  • News Travis Hunter stars in Jaguars' loss, is 1st with INT and TD catch since 2002
  • News Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Game Highlights
  • News Fairbairn's last-second 49-yard FG gives Texans 34-31 win over Jaguars at Wembley Stadium
  • News Texans safety Reed Blankenship suffers concussion vs. Jaguars in London
  • Podcast mention Houston Texans: Now, the Texans are going to have a new running back because Montgomery has been out and he hasn't been running the ball very well. Anyway, they're going to turn to Woody Marks. Woody Marks actually has been pretty impressive in year two.
  • News Jags unlikely to play 3 international games in 2027 during EverBank renovations
  • News Where to watch NFL London Games: Texans vs. Jaguars
  • News NFL Week 6 predictions: Upsets, fantasy sleepers, stat lines, TD scorers, more
  • Injury Jalen Pitre (S, HOU): Out
  • Injury Ja'Marcus Ingram (CB, HOU): Questionable
  • Injury Henry To'oTo'o (LB, HOU): Questionable
  • Injury Tank Dell (WR, HOU): Out
Ask Sharkai about this game

Ask Sharkai · HOU at JAX

21+ · Analytics, not advice · Past results do not predict future ones