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NFL matchup · Week 6

BUF at LV. One game, all of it.

The pick, every available price, player props, injuries, and the final result.

Sun Oct 18 · 4:25 PM ET Final · BUF 13–10 LV
AwayBUF
HomeLV
Our pick

Tonight table

This game is not on the current board.

This game is over, so no pick is shown for it.

Record on similar games

No record is posted for games like this one. It appears here once enough finished games of the same kind have been graded.

Live win chance

This game is final: BUF 13, LV 10. A finished game has no live win chance.

Lines: every available book, open to now

Every market
MarketLine nowHouse sideBasisFair price
SpreadLV +5No play——
TotalO/U 54No play——
MoneylineBUF -244.5 · LV +193No play—LV 32.5% · BUF 67.5%

Fair price is each side's chance implied by the books' prices, with the books' built-in margin taken out. Prices as of Oct 18, 5:07 PM ET.

Odds movement

last good as of Oct 18, 5:07 PM ET

Spread: +4.5 to +5 (10 books)

Home spread

consensus

n=37 · 35h

First captured 4.5 → Latest 5 (+0.5)

4.5 · 2026-10-17T09:57:23.599Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T22:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-17T23:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T01:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T02:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T03:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T04:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T05:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T06:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T07:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z4.5 · 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T20:00:00.000Z5 · 2026-10-18T21:07:01.997Z5
Total: 53.5 to 54 (10 books)

Game total

consensus

n=37 · 35h

First captured 53.5 → Latest 54 (+0.5)

53.5 · 2026-10-17T09:57:23.599Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T18:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T19:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T20:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T22:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-17T23:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T00:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T01:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T02:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T03:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T04:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T05:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T06:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T07:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T08:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T10:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z53.5 · 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000Z54 · 2026-10-18T18:00:00.000Z54 · 2026-10-18T19:00:00.000Z54 · 2026-10-18T20:00:00.000Z54 · 2026-10-18T21:07:01.997Z54

Median of the books quoting in each hour, last 36 hours.

Every book
BookHome spreadTotalHome moneylineAway moneyline
BetdaqBEST PRICE+4.5 +101— o— u—+210-217
Betfair ExBEST PRICE— —53.5 o-109 u+104+210-217
BetMGM— —— o— u—+145-185
Betr AuBEST PRICE+4.5 -10853.5 o-105 u-118+195-250
Betway ZaBEST PRICE— —53.5 o-123 u-108+220-312
DraftKings— —— o— u—+200-245
FanDuel— —53.5 o-110 u-110+122-156
NovigBEST PRICE— —— o— u—+133-135

8 of 89All 89 books · Last pregame prices as of Oct 18, 5:07 PM ET

Compare all 89 books
BookHome spreadTotalHome moneylineAway moneyline
Admiralbet De+4.5 -11153.5 o-118 u-111+180-238
Bet25— —— o— u—+205-250
Bet99— —53.5 o-110 u-110+200-240
Bet9ja+4.5 -10853.5 o-115 u-106+185-233
Betathome— —53.5 o-111 u-108+205-250
Betclic Pt— —— o— u—+175-286
BetdaqBEST PRICE+4.5 +101— o— u—+210-217
Betfair ExBEST PRICE— —53.5 o-109 u+104+210-217
Betika+4.5 -10953.5 o-118 u-109+195-263
BetMGM— —— o— u—+145-185
BetOnline.ag+4.5 -105— o— u—+192-230
Betr AuBEST PRICE+4.5 -10853.5 o-105 u-118+195-250
BetRivers— —53.5 o-113 u-108+123-155
BetUS+4.5 -110— o— u—+195-230
Betway— —— o— u—+115-150
Betway ZaBEST PRICE— —53.5 o-123 u-108+220-312
Bookmaker Eu— —— o— u—+197-232
Bovada— —— o— u—+120-155
Coderemx— —53.5 o-115 u-105+200-250
Courtside— —— o— u—+140-179
Danskespil+4.5 -11053.5 o-110 u-110+200-250
DraftKings— —— o— u—+200-245
DraftKings - Live Odds— —— o— u—+123-164
Fanatics Sportsbook— —— o— u—+135-180
FanDuel— —53.5 o-110 u-110+122-156
Fliff— —— o— u—+135-185
Fortuna Cz+4.5 -114— o— u—+195-270
Hardrock— —— o— u—+125-170
Heritage— —53.5 o-114 u-106+195-237
Jazzsports— —53.5 o-110 u-110+200-240
Jouezsport+4.5 -13053.5 o-125 u-125+170-278
Kalshi— —— o— u—+127-138
Ladbrokes Au— —53.5 o-115 u-110+185-238
Livescorebet— —53.5 o-112 u-108+200-244
LowVig.ag+4.5 +100— o— u—+192-230
Lvbet— —— o— u—+195-250
Marcaapuestas+4.5 -11053.5 o-110 u-110+200-250
Meridianbet+4.5 -10953.5 o-118 u-109+185-244
Miseojeu— —53.5 o-108 u-105+206-238
MyBookie.ag— —— o— u—+198-239
Netbet Ro— —53.5 o-122 u-114+180-263
Norsktipping+4.5 -11553.5 o-125 u-115+190-270
Novibet— —53.5 o-123 u-114——
NovigBEST PRICE— —— o— u—+133-135
Olybet— —— o— u—+165-286
Onexbet+4.5 -11153.5 o-110 u-110+195-240
Paddypower— —53.5 o-110 u-110+200-250
Palmerbet— —53.5 o-111 u-111+200-256
Pamestoixima+4.5 -10653.5 o-115 u-106+200-263
Pinnacle— —— o— u—+116-136
Placard+4.5 -12553.5 o-125 u-125+170-286
Playalberta+4.5 -106— o— u—+190-227
Playnow+4.5 -10853.5 o-110 u-110+200-263
Playup— —53.5 o-109 u-114+190-250
Pmu— —53.5 o-143 u-135+170-385
Polymarket— —— o— u—+133-138
Polymarket Us— —— o— u—+135-137
ProphetX— —— o— u—+128-140
Psk+4.5 -111— o— u—+195-286
ReBet— —— o— u—+212-244
Sbobet— —53.5 o-111 u-106+181-244
Sportium+4.5 -11153.5 o-111 u-111+180-250
Sportybet Ng+4.5 -10953.5 o-118 u-109+195-270
Sportzino— —53.5 o-120 u-120+185-260
Starsports— —53.5 o-110 u-110+190-250
Stoiximan— —53.5 o-115 u-115+200-238
Strendus+4.5 -109— o— u—+193-222
Sts+4.5 -11153.5 o-118 u-111+180-238
Supabets— —53.5 o-118 u-109+202-256
Superbet Pl+4.5 -11553.5 o-118 u-105+190-250
Superbet Ro+4.5 -10953.5 o-115 u-105+200-238
Supersport— —53.5 o-118 u-111+200-250
Sxbet— —— o— u—+211-216
Synot+4.5 -111— o— u—+207-250
TAB (AU)— —53.5 o-111 u-111+125-161
Teapuesto+4.5 -11653.5 o-125 u-115+185-278
Thescorebet— —53.5 o-110 u-110+195-230
Thrillzz— —53.5 o-120 u-120+187-286
Tipico— —— o— u—+210-286
Tipp3— —— o— u—+195-250
Tippmix— —— o— u—+193-270
Tonybet+4.5 -10953.5 o-118 u-109+195-263
Topsport— —53.5 o-114 u-107+190-260
Totalbet+4.5 -11453.5 o-122 u-114+188-278
Toto— —53.5 o-110 u-110+190-250
Veikkaus+4.5 -11453.5 o-119 u-118+195-250
Winamax— —— o— u—+195-263
Wplay+4.5 -11053.5 o-110 u-110+200-250
Youwager+4.5 -110— o— u—+195-235
Line moves and betting splits

No recent line history is stored for this game yet.

Where the money is going

? · what this block is

money flow

What
Where the money is going on each game: the side it leans to, tickets versus dollars, the open → now line and a one-word read.
Why it is here
A line that moves against the ticket count is the sharpest public signal there is; the read names it.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
GameSideOpenNowRead
SEA @ NENENE −1NE −2.5sharp side · 38% tickets · 61% money
KC @ LACKCKC −3KC −3split · 52% tickets · 49% money

open → now · tickets vs dollars

GameOpenNowRead
BUF @ LV——36% tickets · 35% money

as of Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

Props

Player props

? · what this block is

Player props board

What
Player-prop lines, their books and when each quote was captured.
Why it is here
Compare the same player and market while keeping each book and capture time visible.

Player props could not be read as of Oct 18, 5:39 PM ET. Try again.

Context for this game

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
BUF
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
QuestionableBUFQuestionableQuestionable
LV
OutLVOutOut
OutLVOutOut
OutLVOutOut
OutLVOutOut
OutLVOutOut
OutLVOutOut

Updated Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

2 more on the practice report

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
LV
Injured ReserveLVIR—
Injured ReserveLVIR—

Updated Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

Injury report from Oct 18, 5:30 PM ET

Sharkai lenses

casual-bettor: The public leans BUF: 63% of spread tickets at market line -5.5. 31-43 (42%, n=74) house · baked Oct 18
sharp: Sharp: the line moved from BUF by 6.5 at open to BUF by 5.5 now; the market moved toward LV. 5-8 (38%, n=13) house · baked Oct 18 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
modeler: Modeler favors BUF: the house model has BUF by 6.2, the market has BUF by 5.5. 39-35 (53%, n=74) house · baked Oct 18
Weather
Roof
Dome

No outdoor forecast applies to this venue.

As of Oct 18, 5:10 PM ET.

News and game events

Headlines

? · what this block is

headline list

What
Headlines relevant to the board: headline, when, and (when the source has one) an outlet, a tag and a link.
Why it is here
The news behind a line move sits beside the line move, not off in a different tab.

BUF at LV

Game events

  • Podcast mention Las Vegas Raiders: I think the Raiders, what you're seeing is they're coming back to earth a little bit. They're getting only so much they can get out of Brock Bowers, and Kirk Cousins, and Clint Kubiak with their play action, which has been good for them, but they're not a talented team.
  • Podcast mention Buffalo Bills: The last four o'clock game is Bills at Raiders. Now, the Bills probably should have lost to the Rams, but they're 4-1.
  • Injury Tonka Hemingway (DT, LV): Out
  • Injury Carter Runyon (TE, LV): Out
  • Injury Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR, LV): Out
  • Injury Trey Zuhn III (C, LV): Questionable
  • Injury DJ Moore (WR, BUF): Questionable
  • Injury Ed Oliver (DE, BUF): Questionable
  • Injury Josh Palmer (WR, BUF): Questionable
  • Injury Dee Alford (CB, BUF): Questionable
  • Injury T.J. Sanders (DE, BUF): Questionable
  • News Why the Bills could be in a 'troubling spot' vs. the Raiders
Ask Sharkai about this game

Ask Sharkai · BUF at LV

21+ · Analytics, not advice · Past results do not predict future ones