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NFL matchup · Week 1

CHI at CAR. One game, all of it.

The pick, every available price, player props, injuries, and the final result.

Sun Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Final · CHI 59–37 CAR
AwayCHI
HomeCAR
Our pick

Tonight table

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This game is over, so no pick is shown for it.

Record on similar games

No record is posted for games like this one. It appears here once enough finished games of the same kind have been graded.

Live win chance

This game is final: CHI 59, CAR 37. A finished game has no live win chance.

Lines: every available book, open to now

Every market

This game is final. No pregame prices were stored.

Odds movement

Not enough quotes yet to draw a line. The chart appears after the books post a second price.

Every book

This game is final. No pregame prices were stored.

Line moves and betting splits

No recent line history is stored for this game yet.

This game has started. No betting split was posted in the last hour.

Props

Player props

? · what this block is

Player props board

What
Player-prop lines, their books and when each quote was captured.
Why it is here
Compare the same player and market while keeping each book and capture time visible.

Player props could not be read as of Oct 18, 11:32 PM ET. Try again.

Context for this game

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
CAR
OutCAROutOut
OutCAROutOut
OutCAROutOut
OutCAROutOut
OutCAROutOut
OutCAROutOut
OutCAROutOut
OutCAROutOut
CHI
OutCHIOutOut
OutCHIOutOut
OutCHIOutOut
OutCHIOutOut

Updated Oct 18, 11:30 PM ET

4 more on the practice report

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
CAR
Injured ReserveCARIR—
Injured ReserveCARIR—
CHI
Injured ReserveCHIIR—
SuspensionCHISuspended—

Updated Oct 18, 11:30 PM ET

Injury report from Oct 18, 11:30 PM ET

Sharkai lenses

fan: Fan lens (narrative): CHI at CAR, week 1, season 2026. not yet graded house · baked Oct 6
casual-bettor: The public leans CHI: 67% of spread tickets at market line -3. 31-43 (42%, n=74) house · baked Sep 12
sharp: The market has Chicago laying -2.5 on the road in Carolina, and the sharp read is that the value sits on the Bears' side of that number. That -2.5 posting suggests the market may be underrating CHI relative to expectations, with the line movement reflecting a shift in perception rather than any certainty about the result. If the number keeps moving toward Chicago, the early position at -2.5 is where the closing-line value story gets told. 5-8 (38%, n=13) model-narrated · baked Sep 1 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
modeler: Our model leans Carolina here, but only barely, projecting a 0.19-point margin in their favor. That razor-thin edge sits well short of the posted -2.5 line, a notable disagreement between our numbers and the market. When the model's edge is that slim relative to the spread, it signals real uncertainty rather than conviction on either side. 39-35 (53%, n=74) model-narrated · baked Sep 1
contrarian: Everyone's rushing to back CHI at -2.5, but that number looks inflated and the hype around the popular side is exactly what makes it a textbook fade case. When a line gets overpriced like this, the value quietly shifts to the other sideline. CAR is well positioned to capitalize on the mispricing and make the crowd regret following the money. 5-2 (71%, n=7) model-narrated · baked Sep 1 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
Weather

No kickoff forecast is stored for this game yet.

News and game events

Headlines

? · what this block is

headline list

What
Headlines relevant to the board: headline, when, and (when the source has one) an outlet, a tag and a link.
Why it is here
The news behind a line move sits beside the line move, not off in a different tab.

CHI at CAR

Game events

No injury, news or line event has been logged for this game. Events appear as they happen.

Ask Sharkai about this game

Ask Sharkai · CHI at CAR

21+ · Analytics, not advice · Past results do not predict future ones