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▲-2.5 → -3 (-0.5) since open NE @ CHI CHI -2.5 → -3 · BetRivers — open NE @ CHI matchup
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Sportsbook prices as of Sun, Oct 18, 11:07 PM EDT
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NFL matchup · Week 1

BUF at HOU. One game, all of it.

The pick, every available price, player props, injuries, and the final result.

Sun Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Final · BUF 36–31 HOU
AwayBUF
HomeHOU
Our pick

Tonight table

This game is not on the current board.

This game is over, so no pick is shown for it.

Record on similar games

No record is posted for games like this one. It appears here once enough finished games of the same kind have been graded.

Live win chance

This game is final: BUF 36, HOU 31. A finished game has no live win chance.

Lines: every available book, open to now

Every market

This game is final. No pregame prices were stored.

Odds movement

Not enough quotes yet to draw a line. The chart appears after the books post a second price.

Every book

This game is final. No pregame prices were stored.

Line moves and betting splits

No recent line history is stored for this game yet.

This game has started. No betting split was posted in the last hour.

Props

Player props

? · what this block is

Player props board

What
Player-prop lines, their books and when each quote was captured.
Why it is here
Compare the same player and market while keeping each book and capture time visible.

Player props could not be read as of Oct 18, 11:32 PM ET. Try again.

Context for this game

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
BUF
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
OutBUFOutOut
HOU
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut
OutHOUOutOut

Updated Oct 18, 11:30 PM ET

1 more on the practice report

Injuries and news

? · what this block is

injury list

What
Injuries and news for the two teams in this matchup: player, position, team, practice participation, and the game designation once one is filed.
Why it is here
A designation only appears on a team’s final report before kickoff; until then, practice participation is the only signal — showing both, honestly labelled, beats hiding the week until Friday.
Example (illustrative rows, not measured)
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
L'Jarius Sneed · CBKCLimited (knee)—
Caleb Douglas · WRMIADid not participateOut
PlayerTeamPracticeStatus
HOU
Injured ReserveHOUIR—

Updated Oct 18, 11:30 PM ET

Injury report from Oct 18, 11:30 PM ET

Sharkai lenses

fan: Fan lens (narrative): BUF at HOU, week 1, season 2026. not yet graded house · baked Oct 6
casual-bettor: The public leans BUF: 51% of spread tickets at market line -1.5. 31-43 (42%, n=74) house · baked Sep 12
sharp: Buffalo catching -1.5 in Houston is where the value sits, with the market potentially undervaluing the Bills at this number. The move toward Buffalo signals shifting sentiment, and grabbing -1.5 now could translate into real CLV if the line keeps drifting their way. Watch how this number behaves through the week, because where it closes will tell us whether the early value was real. 5-8 (38%, n=13) model-narrated · baked Sep 3 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
modeler: Our model leans toward Houston by a 2.09-point margin, comfortably clearing the -1.5 line, with the edge driven by the top features in our feature set. That said, the ensemble isn't fully aligned on this one, and that disagreement signals real uncertainty around the projection. It's a lean toward HOU, but one we'd frame with appropriate caution rather than conviction. 39-35 (53%, n=74) model-narrated · baked Sep 3
contrarian: Buffalo laying -1.5 on the road feels like the market is buying the jersey more than the matchup, because this number carries the weight of expectation rather than a proven body of work away from home. Houston has the pieces to keep this within a possession, and when a home underdog can hang around, the favorite's price starts to look like a tax for the logo. The popular side is Buffalo, and that's precisely why the line looks mispriced. 5-2 (71%, n=7) model-narrated · baked Sep 3 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
Weather

No kickoff forecast is stored for this game yet.

News and game events

Headlines

? · what this block is

headline list

What
Headlines relevant to the board: headline, when, and (when the source has one) an outlet, a tag and a link.
Why it is here
The news behind a line move sits beside the line move, not off in a different tab.

BUF at HOU

Game events

No injury, news or line event has been logged for this game. Events appear as they happen.

Ask Sharkai about this game

Ask Sharkai · BUF at HOU

21+ · Analytics, not advice · Past results do not predict future ones