Studio · Lab
The draft reef: every idea, placed by how it beats the line.
Deeper means a bigger margin. Bigger fish have more graded games. Ideas that pick the same sides most of the time share a school.
How to read the tank
Each fish is one idea: deeper means a bigger margin over the line, bigger means more games, a ring marks its school and a crown its leader.
Reading the research ledger…
How to read the numbers
Floor and ceiling, not a p-value
A 61–49 record is 55.5%, but ten more games could move it four points either way. The card gives the floor and ceiling behind that record. An idea found by testing many at once has to clear a higher bar, and losing is called sooner than winning, on purpose.
Why a school matters
Two ideas that take the same side most of the time are one idea with two names. Schools are cut each night from pick agreement on this season's graded games. One idea per school is a portfolio; three from one school is one bet, three times.
Breeding
In the Hatchery two or three parents make a child by one of three rules: Agree, Vote or Stack. A child is graded only on games no parent was trained on; nothing borrows a parent's record.
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See ProHow these numbers are checked
Every verdict keeps its research record and a checksum of the results it was graded on, so each number can be audited. Model ideas are graded on their own recorded picks.