Angles · look-through
Short Week Both Sides Total
as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET
hit rate (all)
Ready51.2%
n=125
as of Oct 18
trailing 300
Ready51.2%
n=125
as of Oct 18
best market
Readytotal
51.2% · n=125
as of Oct 18
weeks 1-9
Ready51.7%
n=60
as of Oct 18
weeks 10-18
Ready50.8%
n=65
as of Oct 18
playoffs
—
n=0
as of Oct 18
Angle card · what every angle carries
“Short Week Both Sides Total”
The tell
total
Fires tonight on 0 games.
Blind spot
total (51.2% · n=125).
Famous call: DET @ MIN — total (51.4%, hit).
- Graded claims
- 128
- Hit · Brier
- 51.6% · 0.250
- Lift vs break-even
- -0.8 pts
- CLV when followed
- -0.3
- By regime
- early 51.7% · late 50.8% · playoffs —
- Drift (trailing 300)
- — (needs 300 graded)
- Rating
- Not rated yet
- Used in other angles
- None yet
Counts differ by cohort: the tiles above use decided claims (wins and losses) in each window, while Graded claims counts every graded ledger row, pushes included. Lift here is measured against the −110 break-even; the card on /lenses measures it against the other lenses.
Record by part of the season
| Weeks | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | 51.7% | 60 |
| 10-18 | 50.8% | 65 |
| playoffs | — | 0 |
Calibration
dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=125 · as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET
Tells it reads
- total
Last graded calls
| Game | Call | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA @ DEN | total | 50.6% | hit |
| TB @ DAL | total | 50.0% | hit |
| PIT @ CLE | total | 50.6% | miss |
| ATL @ GB | total | 50.9% | miss |
| DET @ BUF | total | 51.2% | miss |
| DET @ MIN | total | 51.4% | hit |
| DEN @ KC | total | 51.4% | hit |
| DAL @ WAS | total | 51.4% | miss |
| LA @ SEA | total | 51.4% | miss |
| ATL @ TB | total | 51.4% | miss |
Scoreboard
51.6%
n=128 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)
Last 300 games
51.6%
n=128 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)
This season
Not enough graded games yet.
Reliability
Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly update) is a separate reading.
Record by conditions
Not enough graded games to compare conditions yet (Last 300 games).
Recent calls
| Game | Market / side | Percentile | Details | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE @ CHI | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | pending |
| NE @ CHI | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | pending |
| SEA @ DEN | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | win |
| SEA @ DEN | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | win |
| TB @ DAL | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | win |
| TB @ DAL | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | win |
| PIT @ CLE | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | loss |
| PIT @ CLE | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | loss |
| ATL @ GB | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | loss |
| DET @ BUF | total · under | 100% | restDaysHome, restDaysAway | loss |