Served NFL projections, DraftKings salaries and modeled ownership. Compare value, stacks and leverage, then optimize your lineups from the same pool.
Loading NFL saved lineups
The NFL main slate has 10 games and locks Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT. Our model projects 265 of 513 priced players. Puka Nacua leads the board at 24.7 points; the best value is Malik Willis at 3.72 points per $1K.
Slate locks in
155h 38m
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
Games
10
on the main slate
Projected
265
of 513 priced players
Contests
8
open in this contest group
01 · Value board
Who is underpriced this week, and why
Value is projected points per $1,000 of salary. Ownership is modeled.
Who is underpriced this week, and why
Ordered by projected points. Points per $1K is projection divided by salary in thousands.
Field share is how many lineups we expect to roster each player.
CAR is expected to score about 24; few lineups will roster this player.
Showing 8 of 513
priced players
Rows use the same projections as the lineup builder. 248 of 513 priced players carry no served projection
yet. They are listed with a reason and cannot be added to a lineup. Field share is our estimate from salary and projection. It is not contest data.
NFL player tiers
Players in the same tier are too close to call — pick from the highest tier you like the
look of, and don't sweat the order inside it.
● dot = projection— bar = ±1 SD: measured from our graded results where a position has 30+ of them, else an assumed ±25% band around the projection (at least 1 pt), not a measured range◌ dashed ring = borderline with the next tier★ = top 10% by ceiling (measured where graded, else assumed 135% of projection)
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Salary against projection
Each dot is one priced player. Higher dots carry a larger projection.
02 · Stacks
Stacks ranked by score, not by team order
Compare stacks from the served player pool.
Stack Builder
Loading stacks
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Loading coach tendencies
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Pricing rows and model edges
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03 · Leverage
Where the field is wrong
Modeled ownership alongside value, from the served player pool.
Loading leverage and correlations
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Pricing rows and model edges
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04 · Lineup builder
Build it and see why
Single-lineup DFS is free. Multi-entry and exports are Pro.
Highest projected points, no risk adjustment.
Floor and ceiling targets need measured ranges. Until then, lineups use the projection.
One lineup. How many different lineups to build. Free: 1. Research Pro: up to 150 here.
Multi-entry (3, 20, 150) needs
Research Pro — $2.99/week. Build one lineup for free.
FanDuel salaries for this slate are not loaded yet.
Exposures (0 / 513)
The least and most lineups this player can appear in. A max of 50% means at most half of your lineups.
Puka Nacua
Jahmyr Gibbs
Jared Goff
Jacoby Brissett
Joe Burrow
Matthew Stafford
Jordan Love
Bryce Young
Bijan Robinson
Deshaun Watson
C.J. Stroud
Ashton Jeanty
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Kyler Murray
Bucky Irving
Kyren Williams
Malik Willis
Kirk Cousins
Jameis Winston
Derrick Henry
Jonathan Taylor
Drake London
Christian Watson
Aaron Jones Sr.
Zay Flowers
Tetairoa McMillan
Davante Adams
Geno Smith
Daniel Jones
Bo Nix
Chase Brown
Trey McBride
Michael Penix Jr.
Michael Wilson
Brock Bowers
Matthew Golden
Tee Higgins
Nico Collins
Cam Ward
Ja'Marr Chase
Garrett Wilson
Chuba Hubbard
Justin Jefferson
Malik Nabers
Caleb Douglas
Isaiah Likely
Denzel Boston
Sam LaPorta
Carnell Tate
Wan'Dale Robinson
Showing 50 of 513 players. Type a name to find anyone
else.
No lineups built yet
Press Build 1 Lineup above to generate optimised rosters using your mean objective.
Simulator
No lineups yet — build some first.
NFL $800K Playmaker [$200K to 1st] Slate 155198. Conditional model scenarios, not measured winning odds. The server rechecks all evidence before calculating.
Complete observed ownership is unavailable. Select score-only mode to request scores without win, cash, payout or ROI claims.
Choose lineups and supported metrics. No results are shown until the complete receipt
verifies.
Field model and uncertainty assumptions
Scenario estimates, not calibrated contest-winning probabilities or investment returns.
Each submitted lineup is evaluated as one hypothetical entry against the same modeled field, not as a simultaneously entered portfolio.
The field is filled to published capacity, not entries filled so far. Opponents are ownership-weighted legal rosters with replacement across entries, fixed for this seed. Marginal ownership is not a calibrated joint roster distribution.
Each player has one shared outcome per draw across every entry. Scores are Gaussian using the reader’s supplied mean and standard deviation; these dispersion inputs are not measured calibration.
Slate projections take each player’s standard deviation from our graded results at his position when there are at least 30; otherwise it is set to 25% of the projection, at least 1 point, a spread that is assumed, not measured from past outcomes.
Distinct players are independent unless explicit correlation assumptions are supplied. Correlations must be symmetric and positive definite; they are not silently repaired.
Tied entries split the combined prizes for their occupied ranks equally, before provider rounding. Win means outright first; cash means a positive payout.
Intervals and standard errors measure Monte Carlo sampling error conditional on this fixed modeled field and score model. They do not measure ownership, projection, correlation or model error.
joint-normal-exact-field/v2 · dfs-sim-receipt/v2. At most 2 application CPU jobs; 15s stream budget. No contest is entered.
Mass Multi-Entry
NEW
Spray 20 / 50 / 150 diverse lineups — set exposure caps and novelty, then ship to DK.
Lineup count
Stick to the projectionsMix it up
Higher variation nudges each lineup's projections randomly, so your lineups share fewer
players.
Objective mode
Per-position caps (override the global cap per slot)
Pick a count above to generate your multi-entry pool.
No lineups in this session. Build lineups to populate session usage.
05 · News
News that changes a slot, as it lands
Player news for this sport, streamed live. Late swap is paused, so saved lineups stay unchanged.
DFS · Player signals
What changed for a player, in one place
Role, usage, news risk and availability for slate players, with the top signals behind each. Built ahead of time from injury reports, depth charts, news and recent podcast takes.
Player signals
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06 · Contests
Pick the contest the lineup was built for
Only listed contests in the served group appear here.
07 · Showdown
One game, six slots, one captain at 1.5x
Showdown has its own builder: pick the game first, then build around a captain.