Served NFL projections, DraftKings salaries and modeled ownership. Compare value, stacks and leverage, then optimize your lineups from the same pool.
Loading NFL saved lineups
The NFL main slate has 10 games and locks Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT. Our model projects 267 of 513 priced players. Jahmyr Gibbs leads the board at 23.0 points; the best value is Malik Willis at 3.72 points per $1K.
Slate locks in
154h 54m
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT
Games
10
on the main slate
Projected
267
of 513 priced players
Contests
8
open in this contest group
01 · Value board
Who is underpriced this week, and why
Value is projected points per $1,000 of salary. Ownership is modeled.
Who is underpriced this week, and why
Ordered by projected points. Points per $1K is projection divided by salary in thousands.
Field share is how many lineups we expect to roster each player.
LV is expected to score about 21; many lineups will roster this player.
Showing 8 of 513
priced players
Rows use the same projections as the lineup builder. 246 of 513 priced players carry no served projection
yet. They are listed with a reason and cannot be added to a lineup. Field share is our estimate from salary and projection. It is not contest data.
NFL player tiers
Players in the same tier are too close to call — pick from the highest tier you like the
look of, and don't sweat the order inside it.
● dot = projection— bar = ±1 SD: measured from our graded results where a position has 30+ of them, else an assumed ±25% band around the projection (at least 1 pt), not a measured range◌ dashed ring = borderline with the next tier★ = top 10% by ceiling (measured where graded, else assumed 135% of projection)
Loading projection vs ADP
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Salary against projection
Each dot is one priced player. Higher dots carry a larger projection.
02 · Stacks
Stacks ranked by score, not by team order
Compare stacks from the served player pool.
Stack Builder
Loading stacks
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Loading coach tendencies
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Pricing rows and model edges
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03 · Leverage
Where the field is wrong
Modeled ownership alongside value, from the served player pool.
Loading leverage and correlations
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Pricing rows and model edges
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04 · Lineup builder
Build it and see why
Single-lineup DFS is free. Multi-entry and exports are Pro.
Highest projected points, no risk adjustment.
Floor and ceiling targets need measured ranges. Until then, lineups use the projection.
One lineup. How many different lineups to build. Free: 1. Research Pro: up to 150 here.
Multi-entry (3, 20, 150) needs
Research Pro — $2.99/week. Build one lineup for free.
FanDuel salaries for this slate are not loaded yet.
Exposures (0 / 513)
The least and most lineups this player can appear in. A max of 50% means at most half of your lineups.
Jahmyr Gibbs
Puka Nacua
Jared Goff
Joe Burrow
C.J. Stroud
Bryce Young
Jordan Love
Ashton Jeanty
Jonathan Taylor
Matthew Stafford
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Jacoby Brissett
Kirk Cousins
Kyler Murray
Deshaun Watson
Daniel Jones
Malik Willis
Kyren Williams
Tetairoa McMillan
Geno Smith
Drake London
Matthew Golden
Michael Penix Jr.
Zay Flowers
Aaron Jones Sr.
Bijan Robinson
Trey McBride
Bo Nix
Chase Brown
Chuba Hubbard
Malik Nabers
Brock Bowers
Christian Watson
Isaiah Likely
Derrick Henry
Cam Ward
Davante Adams
Nico Collins
Tee Higgins
Garrett Wilson
Ja'Marr Chase
Michael Wilson
Bucky Irving
Jameis Winston
Justin Jefferson
Caleb Douglas
Emeka Egbuka
Jalen Coker
Sam LaPorta
Tre Tucker
Showing 50 of 513 players. Type a name to find anyone
else.
No lineups built yet
Press Build 1 Lineup above to generate optimised rosters using your mean objective.
Simulator
No lineups yet — build some first.
NFL $2.25M Midseason Warm Up Millionaire [$1M to 1st] Slate 155198. Conditional model scenarios, not measured winning odds. The server rechecks all evidence before calculating.
This contest exceeds the 5000-entry CPU limit. No sampled-rank approximation is offered.
Choose lineups and supported metrics. No results are shown until the complete receipt
verifies.
Field model and uncertainty assumptions
Scenario estimates, not calibrated contest-winning probabilities or investment returns.
Each submitted lineup is evaluated as one hypothetical entry against the same modeled field, not as a simultaneously entered portfolio.
The field is filled to published capacity, not entries filled so far. Opponents are ownership-weighted legal rosters with replacement across entries, fixed for this seed. Marginal ownership is not a calibrated joint roster distribution.
Each player has one shared outcome per draw across every entry. Scores are Gaussian using the reader’s supplied mean and standard deviation; these dispersion inputs are not measured calibration.
Slate projections take each player’s standard deviation from our graded results at his position when there are at least 30; otherwise it is set to 25% of the projection, at least 1 point, a spread that is assumed, not measured from past outcomes.
Distinct players are independent unless explicit correlation assumptions are supplied. Correlations must be symmetric and positive definite; they are not silently repaired.
Tied entries split the combined prizes for their occupied ranks equally, before provider rounding. Win means outright first; cash means a positive payout.
Intervals and standard errors measure Monte Carlo sampling error conditional on this fixed modeled field and score model. They do not measure ownership, projection, correlation or model error.
joint-normal-exact-field/v2 · dfs-sim-receipt/v2. At most 2 application CPU jobs; 15s stream budget. No contest is entered.
Mass Multi-Entry
NEW
Spray 20 / 50 / 150 diverse lineups — set exposure caps and novelty, then ship to DK.
Lineup count
Stick to the projectionsMix it up
Higher variation nudges each lineup's projections randomly, so your lineups share fewer
players.
Objective mode
Per-position caps (override the global cap per slot)
Pick a count above to generate your multi-entry pool.
No lineups in this session. Build lineups to populate session usage.
05 · News
News that changes a slot, as it lands
Player news for this sport, streamed live. Late swap is paused, so saved lineups stay unchanged.
DFS · Player signals
What changed for a player, in one place
Role, usage, news risk and availability for slate players, with the top signals behind each. Built ahead of time from injury reports, depth charts, news and recent podcast takes.
Player signals
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06 · Contests
Pick the contest the lineup was built for
Only listed contests in the served group appear here.
07 · Showdown
One game, six slots, one captain at 1.5x
Showdown has its own builder: pick the game first, then build around a captain.
