Updated Sep 7, 2026 · Week 1 board.
How a dollar figure gets built
The auction board prices every man off exactly one input. Where he's being drafted. The arithmetic is public. Dollar value equals 1 plus 65.9 times e to the minus pick over 34.1, built for a 12-team, $200 room.
Feed it a draft position and a price falls out. Jahmyr Gibbs goes at 1.4, so 1 plus 65.9 times e to the minus 1.4 over 34.1 lands at about $64. Puka Nacua goes at 2.8 and comes out near $62. Notice what that formula never asks.
It never asks how much football the man plays on Sunday. That gets answered somewhere else, by the Week 1 projection board, and the two only meet when you divide one by the other.
The division nobody at the table does
Take the dollar tag, divide by projected points, and you get what a point costs you at that price. Eight names, sorted expensive to cheap.
| Player | Team | Pos | ADP | Auction $ | Projected points, Week 1 (PPR) | Board rank at the position | Dollars per projected point |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | ATL | RB | 2.4 | $62 | 19.28 | 2 | $3.22 |
| Puka Nacua | LAR | WR | 2.8 | $62 | 21.05 | 1 | $2.95 |
| Chase Brown | CIN | RB | 13.2 | $46 | 16.03 | 11 | $2.87 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | 1.4 | $64 | 22.50 | 1 | $2.84 |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | WR | 10.5 | $49 | 17.25 | 5 | $2.84 |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | WR | 11.6 | $48 | 17.08 | 6 | $2.81 |
| George Pickens | DAL | WR | 19.7 | $38 | 14.68 | 13 | $2.59 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | WR | 31.7 | $27 | 14.81 | 9 | $1.82 |
Bijan Robinson is the priciest point of the eight at $3.22, and he is a perfectly good football player. The division is not an insult. It's a receipt, and a receipt beats an argument. Tetairoa McMillan sits at the other end, $1.82, 9th at his position on this week's figures.
Divide one by the other and Bijan Robinson costs 1.76 times as much for the same point. The six in between sit between $2.59 and $2.95. That is a tight band, and it means the room is mostly pricing this group about right.
What “last year” means here
Let me correct something before you use any of this. The draft position under these tags is current, pulled this week, nothing stale about it. Don't pay for last year is a claim about what that draft consensus is made of, not about when somebody measured it. Draft position moves slowly and leans on name recognition and last season's role.
A Week 1 projection is one week, built for this slate. They disagree hardest on Tetairoa McMillan. Drafters take him at 31.7. The board puts him 9th at his position.
In August I called that tag the ugliest overpay of the eight. Today's figures say the opposite, and I'd rather print that sentence than quietly drop the name.
The name the price is not looking at
One column on this page moves more money than the division does. Puka Nacua is the most expensive receiver here at $62, and a questionable tag sits beside his name. His $2.95 a point assumes he plays. If he doesn't, there is no price per point at all, only a wasted roster slot, and no formula here saw it coming because the formula reads draft position and nothing else.
Seven of the eight start for their own teams. The exception is George Pickens, second in Dallas at 14.68 points, and the second-cheapest point on the page.
The whole 40-player price board sits on the season auction values explainer, with every draft position and dollar tag laid out. Here I'm only working eight names and one division.
How to use the gap at the table
Let the room bid first on the top of that cost column. Somebody wants to pay $62 for Bijan Robinson at $3.22 a point? That seat is his and your budget stays whole. Nominate Tetairoa McMillan and Pickens early, while the price per point is still where the table above has it, and be willing to go a few dollars past their tags because the arithmetic gives you room.
The Week 1 rankings page and the draft kit are worth reading before your room sits down. These are Week 1 figures, not season-long ones, so bid them as one week of evidence.
The Receipts Drawer
Tetairoa McMillan at $27, which is $1.82 a point, against Bijan Robinson at $62 and $3.22. Same room, same night, 1.76 times the cost for a point. And yes, I did that division twice before typing it. What would make me wrong on Tetairoa McMillan is Carolina splitting his targets three ways in the opener, which is the version where a 9th-place figure at the position was built on a role he doesn't get.
Count his targets in the first quarter. I'd pay $33 for him and stop there, and let somebody else win the $62 seat. Check the market the morning you draft in case a price moved overnight.
