Angles · look-through

Sharp

← All angles

Method card

Method details are not available yet

This angle has no method details yet. You can read its calls and graded results below.

More details about how this angle works will appear here.

Not rated yet Fork

as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET

Use this angle

Take this view into Studio.

Open Studio with this angle selected, then choose your model's other ingredients. To combine angles in Mine, choose this angle there first.

Use in Studio Compose angles

Saying tonight

TB @ CAR · Sharp: the line moved from TB by 1.5 at open to CAR by 3 now; the market moved toward CAR. (53.6%)
NYG @ HOU · Sharp: the line moved from HOU by 5.5 at open to HOU by 7 now; the market moved toward HOU. (50.9%)
MIA @ NYJ · Sharp: the line moved from NYJ by 2.5 at open to NYJ by 4.5 now; the market moved toward NYJ. (51.7%)
IND @ MIN · Sharp: the line moved from MIN by 2.5 at open to MIN by 5.5 now; the market moved toward MIN. (52.7%)
GB @ DET · Sharp: the line moved from DET by 2.5 at open to DET by 3 now; the market moved toward DET. (47.8%)
DEN @ ARI · Sharp: the line moved from DEN by 4.5 at open to DEN by 5.5 now; the market moved toward DEN. (49.7%)
CLE @ TEN · Sharp: the line moved from TEN by 2.5 at open to CLE by 1.5 now; the market moved toward CLE. (53.3%)
WAS @ SF · Sharp: the line moved from SF by 5.5 at open to SF by 7.5 now; the market moved toward SF. (51.7%)
DAL @ GB · Sharp: the line moved from GB by 3 at open to GB by 1.5 now; the market moved toward DAL. (50.9%)

38.5%

n=13

as of Oct 18

38.5%

n=13

as of Oct 18

line-value

38.5% · n=13

as of Oct 18

38.5%

n=13

as of Oct 18

—

n=0

as of Oct 18

—

n=0

as of Oct 18

Angle card · what every angle carries

“Line value, key numbers (3/7), CLV and market moves.”

The tell

line-value

Fires tonight on 9 games.

Blind spot

line-value (38.5% · n=13).

Famous call: DEN @ LAC — line-value (54.0%, hit).

Look through it Remix

Rolling hit rate needs 100 graded claims — not there yet.

Graded claims: 13 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
Hit · Brier: 38.5% · 0.265
Lift vs break-even: -13.9 pts
CLV when followed: —
By regime: early 38.5% · late — · playoffs —
Drift (trailing 300): — (needs 300 graded)
Rating: Not rated yet
Used in other angles: None yet

Counts differ by cohort: the tiles above use decided claims (wins and losses) in each window, while Graded claims counts every graded ledger row, pushes included. Lift here is measured against the −110 break-even; the card on /lenses measures it against the other lenses.

Record by part of the season

Weeks	Hit rate	Games
1-9	38.5%	13
10-18	—	0
playoffs	—	0

Calibration

dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=13 · as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET

Tells it reads

line-value

Last graded calls

Game	Call	Confidence	Result
IND @ PIT	line-value	47.8%	hit
DEN @ LAC	line-value	54.0%	hit
CLE @ NYJ	line-value	50.9%	hit
SEA @ DEN	line-value	47.8%	miss
PHI @ JAX	line-value	54.6%	miss
NYG @ WAS	line-value	51.7%	miss
MIN @ NO	line-value	49.7%	hit
LV @ NE	line-value	53.7%	miss
HOU @ TEN	line-value	52.7%	hit
DET @ ARI	line-value	53.3%	miss

Scoreboard

Not enough graded games yet.

Last 300 games

Not enough graded games yet.

This season

Not enough graded games yet.

Reliability

Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly update) is a separate reading.

— not enough graded games yet

Last 300 games — not enough graded games yet

This season — not enough graded games yet

Record by conditions

Not enough graded games to compare conditions yet (Last 300 games).

Recent calls

Game	Market / side	Result
LAC @ SEA	spread · home	push
MIA @ MIN	spread · home	loss
JAX @ CIN	spread · home	loss
NYJ @ CHI	spread · home	win
NE @ BUF	spread · home	loss
TEN @ BAL	spread · home	loss
GB @ TB	spread · away	push
LA @ PHI	spread · away	win
ARI @ NYG	spread · home	win
DAL @ HOU	spread · home	loss