Angles · look-through
Key Number Cross
as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET
hit rate (all)
Ready48.9%
n=47
as of Oct 18
trailing 300
Ready48.9%
n=47
as of Oct 18
best market
Readyspread
48.9% · n=47
as of Oct 18
weeks 1-9
Ready48.9%
n=47
as of Oct 18
weeks 10-18
—
n=0
as of Oct 18
playoffs
—
n=0
as of Oct 18
Angle card · what every angle carries
“Key Number Cross”
The tell
spread
Fires tonight on 0 games.
Blind spot
spread (48.9% · n=47).
Famous call: LV @ LAC — spread (52.8%, hit).
Rolling hit rate needs 100 graded claims — not there yet.
- Graded claims
- 47
- Hit · Brier
- 48.9% · 0.250
- Lift vs break-even
- -3.5 pts
- CLV when followed
- -0.2
- By regime
- early 48.9% · late — · playoffs —
- Drift (trailing 300)
- — (needs 300 graded)
- Rating
- Not rated yet
- Used in other angles
- None yet
Counts differ by cohort: the tiles above use decided claims (wins and losses) in each window, while Graded claims counts every graded ledger row, pushes included. Lift here is measured against the −110 break-even; the card on /lenses measures it against the other lenses.
Record by part of the season
| Weeks | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | 48.9% | 47 |
| 10-18 | — | 0 |
| playoffs | — | 0 |
Calibration
dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=47 · as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET
Tells it reads
- spread
Last graded calls
| Game | Call | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN @ IND | spread | 47.4% | miss |
| SEA @ DEN | spread | 47.9% | miss |
| PIT @ TB | spread | 47.9% | hit |
| HOU @ JAX | spread | 48.8% | miss |
| CHI @ ATL | spread | 47.4% | miss |
| CAR @ PHI | spread | 47.9% | hit |
| BAL @ CLE | spread | 48.8% | hit |
| TB @ DAL | spread | 48.8% | miss |
| SF @ SEA | spread | 48.8% | hit |
| PHI @ JAX | spread | 48.8% | miss |
Scoreboard
Not enough graded games yet.
Last 300 games
Not enough graded games yet.
This season
Not enough graded games yet.
Reliability
Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly update) is a separate reading.
Record by conditions
Not enough graded games to compare conditions yet (Last 300 games).
Recent calls
| Game | Market / side | Percentile | Details |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ NYJ | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| LA @ LV | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| NYG @ HOU | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| KC @ SEA | spread · away | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| GB @ DET | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| IND @ MIN | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| DEN @ ARI | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| LAC @ KC | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| WAS @ SF | spread · home | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |
| DAL @ GB | spread · away | 100% | crossedKey3, crossedKey7, spreadOpen, spreadClose |