Angles · look-through
Divisional Primetime Combo
as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET
hit rate (all)
Ready57.1%
n=147
as of Oct 18
trailing 300
Ready57.1%
n=147
as of Oct 18
best market
Readyspread
57.1% · n=147
as of Oct 18
weeks 1-9
Ready56.5%
n=62
as of Oct 18
weeks 10-18
Ready57.5%
n=80
as of Oct 18
playoffs
Ready66.7%
n=6
as of Oct 18
Angle card · what every angle carries
“Divisional Primetime Combo”
The tell
spread
Fires tonight on 0 games.
Blind spot
spread (57.1% · n=147).
Famous call: BAL @ PIT — spread (55.4%, hit).
- Graded claims
- 149
- Hit · Brier
- 57.7% · 0.245
- Lift vs break-even
- +5.3 pts
- CLV when followed
- +0.3
- By regime
- early 56.5% · late 57.5% · playoffs 66.7%
- Drift (trailing 300)
- — (needs 300 graded)
- Rating
- Not rated yet
- Used in other angles
- None yet
Counts differ by cohort: the tiles above use decided claims (wins and losses) in each window, while Graded claims counts every graded ledger row, pushes included. Lift here is measured against the −110 break-even; the card on /lenses measures it against the other lenses.
Record by part of the season
| Weeks | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | 56.5% | 62 |
| 10-18 | 57.5% | 80 |
| playoffs | 66.7% | 6 |
Calibration
dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=147 · as of Oct 18, 5:25 PM ET
Tells it reads
- spread
Last graded calls
| Game | Call | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT @ CLE | spread | 54.9% | hit |
| ATL @ NO | spread | 55.3% | hit |
| SF @ LA | spread | 54.7% | hit |
| DEN @ KC | spread | 54.7% | miss |
| DAL @ NYG | spread | 54.7% | hit |
| LA @ SEA | spread | 55.4% | miss |
| BAL @ PIT | spread | 55.4% | hit |
| DET @ MIN | spread | 55.4% | hit |
| DEN @ KC | spread | 55.4% | hit |
| DAL @ WAS | spread | 55.4% | hit |
Scoreboard
57.7%
n=152 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)
Last 300 games
57.7%
n=152 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)
This season
Not enough graded games yet.
Reliability
Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly update) is a separate reading.
Record by conditions
Not enough graded games to compare conditions yet (Last 300 games).
Recent calls
| Game | Market / side | Percentile | Details | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL @ PHI | spread · home | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | pending |
| DAL @ PHI | spread · away | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | pending |
| ATL @ NO | spread · away | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | win |
| ATL @ NO | spread · away | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | win |
| PIT @ CLE | spread · home | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | win |
| PIT @ CLE | spread · home | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | win |
| SF @ LA | spread · away | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | win |
| DEN @ KC | spread · away | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | loss |
| DAL @ NYG | spread · home | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | win |
| PHI @ DAL | spread · away | 100% | divisional, primetime, spreadClose | pending |